Jesse Livermore: Profit from the World's Most Famous Speculator
24 07 2007
Jesse Livermore: Profit from the World's Most Famous Speculator
By Dr. Mark Skousen, Chairman, Investment U
For
the past few months, I've been warning you about "Bennie and the
Crash," due to the Fed's excessive war on inflation. True to form,
Wall Street has struggled this summer, and now that the war is heating
up in the Middle East, the bear market may continue.
It's the perfect time to do some summer reading, especially about the story of
Jesse Livermore, the "boy plunger" of the early 20th century whose story is told in the classic biography,
Reminiscences of a Stock Operator.
Under
the pseudonym Larry Livingstone, the first-person account reveals in
story after story the thrill of victory and the agony of defeat as a
speculator extraordinaire. Livermore made and lost a million-dollar
fortune three times, and died tragically of suicide in 1940. He lived
through the Panic of 1907, the First World War, the Roaring Twenties,
the 1929 Crash and the Great Depression.
Throughout it all, he learned many lessons that we can apply today…
Five Timeless Rules of Investing Learned From Jesse Livermore
1.
"My greatest discovery was that a man must study general conditions, to
size them up so as to be able to anticipate probabilities." What did
Livermore mean by "general conditions"? He meant the macroeconomic
environment and geopolitics. Are they favorable or not favorable to
buying stocks? Today, the Fed is raising rates and squeezing the money
supply (the monetary base declined last month for the first time in
years; a year ago, it was going up 10%.) The war in the Middle East is
heating up. These general conditions are not conducive to a bull
market, except for gold!
2.
Learn
from wise old men who have experience in the markets. In Reminiscences
of a Stock Operator , the author talks about "the Old Turkey," a "very
wise old codger" who counseled Jesse Livermore on making good
investment decisions and avoiding mistakes. How can you do this? The
best way is to read histories of the great investors such as Warren
Buffett, Peter Lynch, John Templeton and J. Paul Getty.
3.
Learn your strengths and weaknesses. "We've all got a weak spot.
What's yours?" asks the Old Turkey. A good question that we must all
answer. "Study mistakes," he counsels. You don't learn from your
successes, only from your mistakes!
4.
Always save some of your gains. "I was again living pretty well, but
always saving something, to increase the stake that I was to take back
to Wall Street." Unfortunately, Livermore made the mistake of not
living up to his own advice. He leveraged himself too much, and often
went bankrupt. By taking some of your gains and investing the funds in
alternative investments, such as real estate, art and collectibles, or
gold coins, you protect yourself in case you are wrong.
This
reminds me of something that happened to me many years ago. I had made
a $2 million profit on a penny stock and my wife sat me down and
insisted I pay off the mortgage, which was sizeable. I told her I
preferred to reinvest the profits in more penny stocks, but she
insisted, and I finally agreed with her and paid off the mortgage. It
was the best decision "I" ever made! Had I invested the profits in
more penny stocks, I would have lost my shirt, because the penny stocks
went into a major bear market soon after.
5.
Beware the charismatic financial guru! "It cost me millions to learn
that another dangerous enemy to a trader is his susceptibility to the
urgings of a magnetic personality when plausibly expressed by a
brilliant mind." Oh, how true. I well remember the times I invested
in several tax shelters that eventually went bust, because I was
thoroughly convinced by a smooth talking salesman who seemed brilliant
at the time.
To tell you the truth, I
hate it when subscribers to my newsletter come up to me and say, "I've
cancelled all my other newsletters except yours. You are my guru!" I
tell them they are making a mistake. It's best to get the advice of
several respected investment advisors and then make up your own mind.
Good trading, AEIOU,
Mark